T3 Insight

Inside one of the nation’s fastest-growing brokerages, analyzing inventory at the metro level + Howard Hanna’s VOW strategy

Articles in this Edition

In this edition of T3 Insight, T3 Sixty's latest monthly analysis of the residential real estate brokerage industry includes articles on Inside one of the nation’s fastest-growing brokerages, analyzing inventory at the metro level + Howard Hanna’s VOW strategy. Take a deep dive below.
Released August 15, 2023

Inside the innovative business model of fast-growing brokerage Jason Mitchell Group

by: Paul Hagey

Howard Hanna tests opting out of IDX

by: Paul Hagey

Examining the decrease in inventory at the metro level

by: Paul Bishop

What We're Reading

In addition to the articles, here are a few items we are reading from across the internet.

Rent control could be repealed In California

In November 2024, California voters will decide on an initiative to repeal restrictions on rent control, led by housing advocates. The move follows previous failed attempts in 2018 and 2020 to overturn the Costa-Hawkins Rental Housing Act, Ih currently prevents rent control on single-family homes and post-1995 apartments. Proponents argue that the initiative will protect vulnerable tenants as Increasing rents push more Californians toward homelessness. Opponents fear the measure will hinder market dynamics.

This decision holds potential implications for the broader housing landscape in California, the nation’s most populous state, and potentially other states, as happenings in the Golden State often filter to others.

  • LA Times
Interest rates and their implications for real estate

In 2023, mortgage rates are expected to rise to about 7% due to the Federal Reserve's efforts to cool the economy and combat inflation. The Federal Reserve anticipates only one more rate increase for the year, signaling that peak rates may be near.

As higher rates become a new normal, on-the-fence sellers may increasingly list their homes, which will unlock key inventory.

  • New York Times
Opendoor’s path to recovery

In 2022, Opendoor faced significant challenges and recorded a net loss of $1.4 billion despite selling over 39,000 homes. However, in 2023, the iBuyer returned to profitability in its second quarter. A pivotal move was partnering with Zillow after the latter ceased its iBuying program. This partnership expanded Opendoor's reach, with 40% of their total acquisition contracts in Q2 coming from such collaborations. Additionally, Opendoor is doubling down on relationships with real estate agents, increasing incentives and strengthening its brand marketing efforts.

Opendoor's strategic shifts and renewed emphasis on partnerships can offer brokerages, agents and team’s insights into evolving market dynamics and potential collaboration opportunities in the iBuying space.

  • Real Estate News
3 Key Insights on REX’s Lawsuit Against Zillow

The federal antitrust case involving REX, Zillow and NAR is gaining attention. REX alleges that Zillow and NAR hid non-MLS listings, causing a decline in traffic to REX’s lower commission properties.

The trial is set for September 18 in the U.S. District Court in Seattle.

  • Real Estate News
NAR membership grows, but decline expected

In July 2023, NAR reported its member count reached over 1.56 million members, despite a decline in housing transactions. NAR membership increased in states such as Florida, Texas and Georgia, with Florida leading with over 223,000 members. However, Lawrence Yun, NAR's chief economist, anticipates a 5% drop in membership by December due to the competitive business environment and the nearly 19% decline in home sales year-over-year in June.

Brokerages and agents face stiff competition with the decline in the number of home sales in 2023. Success will require smart strategy and savvy marketing.

  • Real Estate News
Compass requiring staff to return to office full-time

Compass is requiring staff to return to the office full time, emphasizing the value of in-person interactions in the real estate industry. CEO Robert Reffkin said the decision came from a belief that real success in real estate comes from personal connections and that remote methods, such as texts and Zoom calls, can't replace the depth of in-person meetings. He believes that Compass' emphasis on traditional face-to-face interactions, paired with a conventional commission split that provides clear value, positions the company advantageously.

Relationships are foundational to real estate and connecting in-person forms undeniably strong bonds. As the nation’s largest brokerage emphasizes a return to in-person work, more companies will undeniably confront a similar decision.

  • Inman
US mortgage rates soar to levels unseen since 2002

Mortgage interest rates in the United States have reached their highest levels since 2002, with the 30-year fixed rate averaging 7.09%. This increase is attributed to a strong economy reflected in factors such as consumer spending and wage growth, as well as an elevated 10-year treasury yield due to concerns about the US debt load and long-term rate expectations.

The real estate industry may continue to face a slowdown in home purchases as higher mortgage rates deter potential buyers, despite the underlying strong economy indicating sustained demand.

  • Real Estate News
US Home prices surge to record highs in many major markets

The August mortgage monitor report from Black Knight shows that in June 2023, home prices hit new highs in 30 of the 50 largest markets.  High home prices combined with elevated borrowing rates have resulted in rising monthly mortgage payments, with July's typical payment reaching a record of $2,308. This trend, coupled with the growing inventory deficits in over 90% of markets, suggests further challenges in affordability.

  • Real Estate News
Demand for land reaches new heights in 2023

A recent survey by John Burns Research and Consulting reveals that interest in developable land has soared, with the market for such land being the most robust it's been since early 2022. The surge in demand is attributed to the tight existing home market, prompting builders to seek land for new developments. Regionally, the Northeast leads in the land rush, with high demand due to limited supply near job centers. In contrast, areas like Texas, Florida, and most of the Midwest have seen a cooling trend.

With the existing home inventory remaining tight, builders are capitalizing on the moment. Real estate agents, after witnessing clients lose in bidding wars, are increasingly directing them towards new construction.

  • Real Estate News
Appraisal fairness improving equity

A recent analysis shows a positive shift in home equity appraisals, indicating improvement in appraisal fairness. It has shown that  there is a racial gap in appraisals with minority neighborhoods receiving lower valuations than majority-white areas. Efforts by the  Property Appraisal and Valuation Equity (PAVE) task force have contributed to a decrease in low appraisals in minority areas over the past two years, according to the latest Federal Housing Finance Agency data. Although there's still a notable gap, the difference has lessened by 2.9 percentage points between white and minority tracts over the past two years.

Real estate agents, brokerages, and teams must stay informed and advocate for fairness in the appraisal process to ensure equitable housing opportunities and build trust with diverse clientele.

  • Real Estate News